⚽ Sports
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Lionel Messi
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
68%
No
32%
No (32%)Yes (68%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 68%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Lionel Messi is ranked top 5 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Harry Kane
99%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Kylian Mbappé
99%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Lamine Yamal
96%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Rodri
61%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Michael Olise
40%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
31%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Ousmane Dembélé
29%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Vitinha
16%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Fabián Ruiz
14%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Jude Bellingham
7%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Pau Cubarsí
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Erling Haaland
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Declan Rice
6%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Julián Quiñones
5%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Luis Díaz
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Ferran Torres
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — João Neves
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Dayot Upamecano
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Nuno Mendes
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Marc Cucurella
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Sadio Mané
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Willian Pacho
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — William Saliba
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Marquinhos
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Gabriel
4%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Achraf Hakimi
3%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Lautaro Martínez
3%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Bruno Fernandes
2%
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Vinícius Júnior
2%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$5k
CategorySports
StatusOpen