₿ Crypto
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Crypto
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$40k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 12%. Polymarket has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
All outcomes · Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
57%
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
54%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
53%
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?
38%
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
36%
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?
32%
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
31%
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
19%
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
16%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$40k
CategoryCrypto
StatusOpen