🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)

Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Flávio Bolsonaro

Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 4th place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)

Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Renan Santos
83%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Romeu Zema
24%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Ronaldo Caiado
19%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Augusto Cury
4%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Pablo Marçal
3%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Samara
1%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Clariana Barão
1%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Wilson Grassi
1%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Hertz Dias
1%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Edmilson Costa
1%
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
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Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen