🗳️ Elections
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Ronaldo Caiado
Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$17
Liquidity
$11k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved up 10pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Ronaldo Caiado finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
52%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Renan Santos
51%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Augusto Cury
40%
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
36%
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Eduardo Bolsonaro
6%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Tarcísio de Freitas
5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Fernando Haddad
5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Ciro Gomes
5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Ratinho Júnior
5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Jair Bolsonaro
5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Aldo Rebelo
5%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
4%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Romeu Zema
3%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Michelle Bolsonaro
3%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — Flávio Bolsonaro
1%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$17
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen