🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%.

About this market

If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
74%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%
58%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5%
39%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
4%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥11%
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
16%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen