🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥5%

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥1%
11%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥3%
7%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥9%
2%
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥7%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
6%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen