🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Minas Gerais

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$636
Liquidity
$486

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%.

About this market

If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Minas Gerais in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Roraima
97%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Tocantins
89%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Amapá
68%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Amazonas
25%
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — Pará
12%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
88%
probability of YES
Kalshi
88%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$636
Liquidity$486
CategoryElections
StatusOpen