Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

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Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

62%

38%

No (38%)Yes (62%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 62%.

About this market

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the Exterior zone (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad? — Flávio Bolsonaro

31%

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Avg probability

62%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Oct 25, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$755

Liquidity$4k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen