🗳️ Elections
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 4%
Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
54%
No
46%
No (46%)Yes (54%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$161
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 54%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 1%
94%
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 2%
82%
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 3%
63%
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 9%
62%
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 5%
37%
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 6%
29%
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 7%
26%
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) — At least 12%
8%
Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$161
CategoryElections
StatusOpen