🗳️ Elections
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 5%

Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$13

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 35%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 1%
94%
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 2%
89%
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 3%
66%
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 4%
48%
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 6%
26%
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 7%
12%
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) — At least 8%
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
35%
probability of YES
Kalshi
35%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$13
CategoryElections
StatusOpen