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CA-04 House winner?

CA-04 House winner? — Mike Thompson

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
56%
No
44%
No (44%)Yes (56%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$16k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 56%. Kalshi has moved down 21pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Mike Thompson wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · CA-04 House winner?

CA-04 House winner? — Eric Jones
45%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
56%
probability of YES
Kalshi
56%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$16k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen