🎯 Other
California permitted housing units in 2026

California permitted housing units in 2026 — Above 115,000

Live
Resolves Jan 27, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%. Kalshi has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 115,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · California permitted housing units in 2026

California permitted housing units in 2026 — Above 100,000
96%
California permitted housing units in 2026 — Above 105,000
90%
California permitted housing units in 2026 — Above 110,000
61%
California permitted housing units in 2026 — Above 120,000
8%
California permitted housing units in 2026 — Above 125,000
6%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Kalshi
12%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen