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Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Cut more than 25bps

Live
Resolves Nov 4, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$270
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Maintain current rate
60%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Cut 1-25bps
25%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Hike more than 25bps
4%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
3%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$270
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen