📊 Macro
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August — Above -0.30

Live
Resolves Sep 21, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 96%.

About this market

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above -0.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August — Above -0.40
98%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August — Above -0.20
94%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August — Above -0.10
83%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August — Above 0.00
67%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August — Above 0.10
47%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August — Above 0.20
14%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
96%
probability of YES
Kalshi
96%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 21, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen