🗳️ Elections

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 25%. Polymarket has moved down 13pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
25%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen