🗳️ Elections
Connecticut Governor margin of victory

Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 8+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
86%
No
14%
No (14%)Yes (86%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 86%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Connecticut by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Connecticut Governor margin of victory

Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 17+ pts
93%
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 11+ pts
74%
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 14+ pts
59%
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 20+ pts
34%
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 23+ pts
23%
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 26+ pts
16%
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 29+ pts
13%
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 32+ pts
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
86%
probability of YES
Kalshi
86%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen