📊 Macro
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.5%

Live
Resolves Jan 13, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$172
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.2%
99%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.4%
98%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.5%
98%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.3%
97%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.1%
96%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.6%
67%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.8%
63%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.7%
40%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.9%
31%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.0%
13%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.1%
12%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.2%
9%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
5%
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.3%
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 13, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$172
Liquidity$1k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen