📊 Macro
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.1%
Live
Resolves Dec 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$585
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.3%
98%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.1%
97%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.4%
97%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.0%
97%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.2%
97%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.6%
95%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.5%
94%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.7%
82%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.8%
40%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.9%
26%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.2%
7%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.0%
6%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
4%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.3%
4%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.5%
2%
Resolution
Dec 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$585
Liquidity$1k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen