Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 30+ pts

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

57%

43%

No (43%)Yes (57%)

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Probability History

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Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 57%. Kalshi has moved up 15pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Delaware by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Delaware Senate margin of victory

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 14+ pts

95%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 18+ pts

93%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 20+ pts

92%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 22+ pts

92%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 16+ pts

91%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 24+ pts

86%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 28+ pts

57%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 26+ pts

57%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 34+ pts

35%

Delaware Senate margin of victory — Democrats, 32+ pts

33%

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Avg probability

57%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$23

CategoryElections

StatusOpen