🎯 Other

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen