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🗳️ Elections

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Closed
Resolves Jun 1, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
50%
TGWA
Resolution
Jun 1, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusClosed