📊 Macro
Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Hike 25bps

Live
Resolves Oct 28, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
54%
No
46%
No (46%)Yes (54%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$25k
Liquidity
$268k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 54%. Kalshi has moved up 17pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Fed maintains rate
45%
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Cut >25bps
1%
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Hike >25bps
1%
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Cut 25bps
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
54%
probability of YES
Kalshi
54%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 28, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$25k
Liquidity$268k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen