📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.00%

Live
Resolves Mar 17, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 46pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.00% following the Federal Reserve's Mar 17, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.25%
99%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.50%
99%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.00%
97%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.75%
97%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.75%
97%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.50%
95%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.25%
94%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.50%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 1.75%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 0.00%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.75%
93%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00%
92%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.00%
92%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50%
91%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%
88%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 2.25%
86%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25%
84%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.75%
81%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 4.50%
51%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%
49%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 6.00%
49%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.25%
12%
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting? — Above 5.75%
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Mar 17, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen