📊 Macro
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%

Live
Resolves Oct 28, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
59%
No
41%
No (41%)Yes (59%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$29k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 59%. Kalshi has moved up 40pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 2.75%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 3.00%
99%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75%
98%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 3.50%
98%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 3.25%
98%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 5.25%
1%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.25%
1%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.50%
1%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.75%
1%
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 5.00%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
59%
probability of YES
Kalshi
59%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 28, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$29k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen