📊 Macro
Fed funds rate at end of 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 3.75%
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028KalshiVolume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$10k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 81%. Kalshi has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Fed funds rate at end of 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 2.50%
98%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 2.25%
98%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 1.00%
98%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 1.50%
96%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 1.25%
95%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 2.00%
93%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 1.75%
93%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 2.75%
92%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 3.00%
87%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 3.25%
87%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 3.50%
84%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 4.00%
81%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 4.25%
70%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 4.50%
64%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 4.75%
45%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 5.25%
18%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 5.00%
12%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 6.00%
9%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 5.50%
7%
Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — Above 5.75%
7%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen