🎯 Other
FL-04 House winner?

FL-04 House winner? — Aaron Bean

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
79%
No
21%
No (21%)Yes (79%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$27k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 79%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the House member sworn in for FL-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · FL-04 House winner?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
79%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$27k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen