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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou

Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-4.5) vs Yi Zhou (+4.5)

Live
Resolves Oct 19, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$20k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 41%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Hubert Hurkacz" if Hubert Hurkacz wins 4.5 or more total games than Yi Zhou in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yi Zhou". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Hubert Hurkacz could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Yi Zhou". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
41%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 19, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$20k
CategorySports
StatusOpen