🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.8%

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
97%
No
3%
No (3%)Yes (97%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 97%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.9%
37%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — Below 8.6%
20%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.7%
13%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.6%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.0%
4%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.2%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.1%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — Above 9.2%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
97%
probability of YES
Kalshi
97%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen