🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026? — 8.2% to 8.4%

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$568

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is between 8.2% and 8.4% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026? — 8.5% to 8.7%
44%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026? — 8.8% to 9.0%
38%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026? — Above 9.0%
9%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026? — 7.9% to 8.1%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026? — 7.6% to 7.8%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 2, 2026? — Below 7.6%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$568
CategoryElections
StatusOpen