🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — Above 8.5%

Live
Resolves Sep 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 99%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.5% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 8.4%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 8.5%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 7.9%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — Below 7.9%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 8.3%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 8.1%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 8.0%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 8.2%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
99%
probability of YES
Kalshi
99%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 29, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen