🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — 8.2%

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.2% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — Above 8.5%
58%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — 8.5%
28%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — 8.1%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — 8.4%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — 8.3%
4%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — Below 7.9%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — 8.0%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 30, 2026? — 7.9%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen