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Market Closed
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🗳️ Elections
Greater Manchester mayoral election winner?

Greater Manchester mayoral election winner? — Conservative

Closed
Resolves Jul 30, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Conservative Party wins the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%
TGWA
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Resolution
Jul 30, 2027
closed
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusClosed