🗳️ Elections
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place

Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place — Conservative Party

Live
Resolves Oct 8, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
43%
No
57%
No (57%)Yes (43%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$218
Liquidity

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 43%.

About this market

If the certified results place Conservative Party in 3rd place in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
43%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 8, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$218
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen