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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Above 98,000 MW

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$12k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 98,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Above 91,500 MW
5%
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Above 92,000 MW
4%
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Above 93,000 MW
3%
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Above 92,500 MW
3%
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Above 94,000 MW
3%
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Above 96,000 MW
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$12k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen