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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 230-233

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$96k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 15%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic party has between 230-233 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
15%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$96k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen