🗳️ Elections
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 2

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%.

About this market

If the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party is at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 1
22%
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 3
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
8%Check
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen