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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 193-197

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$119k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party has between 193-197 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$119k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen