🎯 Other
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 210

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$21k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 120
97%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 140
71%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 145
37%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 150
11%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 160
7%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 180
4%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 200
4%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 170
4%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 190
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$21k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen