How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.3%

Live

Resolves Nov 25, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

13%

87%

No (87%)Yes (13%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.1%

99%

How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.2%

92%

How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.0%

92%

How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.4%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

13%

probability of YES

Kalshi

13%Check

TG WA

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Resolution

Nov 25, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$10k

Liquidity$7k

CategoryOther

StatusOpen