📊 Macro
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0%

Live
Resolves Jan 13, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
18%
No
82%
No (82%)Yes (18%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 18%. Kalshi has moved down 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.3%
97%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1%
96%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2%
96%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
94%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.0%
93%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5%
85%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6%
47%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.7%
31%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8%
13%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.2%
10%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.8%
5%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9%
5%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1%
5%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0%
4%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.4%
4%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.7%
3%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.3%
3%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.9%
3%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.6%
3%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5%
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
18%
probability of YES
Kalshi
18%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 13, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen