🗳️ Elections
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Likud

Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
45%
No
55%
No (55%)Yes (45%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$824

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 45%.

About this market

If Likud finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Yashar
37%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Together
6%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Shas
3%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — United Torah Judaism
2%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — The Democrats
2%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Yisrael Beiteinu
2%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Otzma Yehudit
2%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
2%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — A Place for All of Us
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Blue and White
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Haredi Public
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Israel First
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — New Economic Party
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Religious Zionist Party
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Ra'am
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Noam for Israel
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Unity
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — People of Israel
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Zehut
1%
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — Zionist Home–The Reservists
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
45%
probability of YES
Kalshi
45%Check
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Resolution
Oct 27, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$824
CategoryElections
StatusOpen