🎯 Other
Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above -25,000

Live
Resolves Nov 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$200
Liquidity
$587

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 0
82%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 10,000
78%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 20,000
72%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 30,000
67%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 50,000
62%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 40,000
60%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 60,000
46%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 70,000
38%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 80,000
33%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 90,000
28%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 100,000
22%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 125,000
19%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
88%
probability of YES
Kalshi
88%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$200
Liquidity$587
CategoryOther
StatusOpen