🎯 Other
Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 40,000

Live
Resolves Nov 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
60%
No
40%
No (40%)Yes (60%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$200
Liquidity
$310

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 60%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 40000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above -25,000
88%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 0
82%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 10,000
78%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 20,000
72%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 30,000
67%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 50,000
62%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 60,000
46%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 70,000
38%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 80,000
33%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 90,000
28%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 100,000
22%
Jobs numbers in October 2026? — Above 125,000
19%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
60%
probability of YES
Kalshi
60%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$200
Liquidity$310
CategoryOther
StatusOpen