🎯 Other
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above -25,000

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
93%
No
7%
No (7%)Yes (93%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$23
Liquidity
$441

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 93%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 0
87%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 10,000
85%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 20,000
83%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 40,000
80%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 30,000
78%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 50,000
71%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 60,000
69%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 70,000
57%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 90,000
52%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 80,000
51%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 100,000
42%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 125,000
21%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
93%
probability of YES
Kalshi
93%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$23
Liquidity$441
CategoryOther
StatusOpen