🎯 Other
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 40,000

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
80%
No
20%
No (20%)Yes (80%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1
Liquidity
$495

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 80%. Kalshi has moved up 12pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 40000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above -25,000
93%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 0
87%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 10,000
85%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 20,000
83%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 30,000
78%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 50,000
71%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 60,000
69%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 70,000
57%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 90,000
52%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 80,000
51%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 100,000
42%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 125,000
21%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
80%
probability of YES
Kalshi
80%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1
Liquidity$495
CategoryOther
StatusOpen