🎯 Other
When will any company achieve AGI?

When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jan 1, 2029

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
76%
No
24%
No (24%)Yes (76%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 76%. Kalshi has moved down 11pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will any company achieve AGI?

When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jan 1, 2031
82%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Oct 1, 2028
81%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jul 1, 2028
79%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jan 1, 2030
79%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Apr 1, 2028
71%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jan 1, 2028
61%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Oct 1, 2027
49%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jul 1, 2027
39%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Apr 1, 2027
32%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jan 1, 2027
19%
When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
76%
probability of YES
Kalshi
76%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen