🎯 Other
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before November

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3
Liquidity
$399k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 20, 2029
19%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2028
13%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2027
4%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before December
3%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before October
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3
Liquidity$399k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen