🎯 Other
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before December

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$21k
Liquidity
$135k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%.

About this market

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 20, 2029
21%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2028
14%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2027
5%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before November
2%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before October
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$21k
Liquidity$135k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen