Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live

Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (99%)Yes (1%)

Check on Kalshi →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 20, 2029

22%

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 1, 2028

13%

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

1%Check

TG WA

Create Widget

Resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$11k

Liquidity$523k

CategoryOther

StatusOpen