🎯 Other
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Live
Resolves Jan 20, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$246k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 21%.

About this market

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2028
14%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2027
5%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before December
4%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before November
2%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before October
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Kalshi
21%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 20, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$246k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen