🎯 Other
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2028

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$38k
Liquidity
$404k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 20, 2029
21%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before 2027
5%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before December
4%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before November
2%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before October
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
14%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$38k
Liquidity$404k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen