Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

13%

87%

No (87%)Yes (13%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 20, 2029

23%

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

13%

probability of YES

Kalshi

13%Check

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Resolution

Jan 1, 2028

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$25k

Liquidity$653k

CategoryOther

StatusOpen